Worldwide mobile data traffic will increase 26-fold during the period 2010-2015, says the Cisco Visual Networking Index. By 2015 it will reach 6.3 exabytes per month or an annual run rate of 75 exabytes.What’s an exabyte? (1 EB = 1,000,000,000,000,000,000 B = 1018 bytes = 1 billion gigabytes = 1 million terabytes).
This tsunami of mobile data is of course the result of smart phones and other mobile web devices like tablets. The traffic increase represents a compound annual growth rate of 92% over the same period. Pretty impressive stuff.
The Cisco study predicts that by 2015, more than 5.6 billion personal devices will be connected to mobile networks, and there will also be 1.5 billion machine-to-machine nodes – nearly the equivalent of one mobile connection for every person in the world.
Mobile video is forecast to represent 66% of all mobile data traffic by 2015, increasing 35-fold from 2010 to 2015.
Facts and Projections
• The updated research projects that annual global mobile data traffic will reach 6.3 exabytes per month, or an annual run rate of 75 exabytes, by 2015. That amount is the equivalent of 19 billion DVDs or 536 quadrillion SMS text messages or 75 times the amount of global Internet Protocol traffic (fixed and mobile) generated in the year 2000.
• Global mobile data traffic increased 159 percent from calendar year 2009 to calendar year 2010 to 237 petabytes per month, or the equivalent of 60 million DVDs.
• Global mobile data traffic grew 4.2 times as fast as global fixed broadband data traffic in 2010.
• Global mobile data traffic in 2010 was three times the size of all global Internet traffic (fixed and mobile) in the year 2000.
• According to the updated forecast, the Middle East and Africa will have the highest regional mobile data traffic growth rates.
• India has the highest national mobile data traffic growth rate.
Global Mobile Device and Customer Milestones
• The Cisco study estimates that by 2015, there will be a mobile connected device for nearly every member of the world’s population (7.2 billion people per United Nations’ population estimate) and more than 7.1 billion mobile connections to handsets, other devices and machine-to-machine nodes.
• Today, the average mobile connection generates 65 megabytes of traffic per month, equivalent to about 15 MP3 music files. By 2015, the average mobile connection is anticipated to generate more than 17 times that amount, to a total of 1,118 megabytes of traffic per month, equivalent to about 260 MP3 music files.
• Smart phones, laptops, and other portable devices will drive more than 87% of global mobile traffic by 2015.
• Mobile network-connected tablets will generate more traffic in 2015 (248 petabytes per month) than the entire global mobile network in 2010 (237 petabytes per month). The same will be true of machine-to-machine (M2M) traffic, which will reach 295 petabytes per month in 2015.







